Hypothesis Testing (Normal Distribution) (CIE A Level Maths: Probability & Statistics 2)

Exam Questions

4 hours29 questions
1a
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2 marks

A random sample of 25 independent observations of the random variable X space tilde N left parenthesis 50 comma 10 ² right parenthesis is taken. The sample mean, ̅ X is calculated.

Explain why ̅ X space tilde N left parenthesis 50 comma 2 squared right parenthesis.

1b
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4 marks

Find

(i)
P left parenthesis ̅ X less than 45 right parenthesis
(ii)
P left parenthesis ̅ X greater than 54 right parenthesis
1c
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4 marks

Find the value of k such that:

(i)
P left parenthesis ̅ X less than k right parenthesis equals 0.05
(ii)
P left parenthesis ̅ X greater than k right parenthesis equals 0.1

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2a
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1 mark

The random variable S follows a normal distribution with a mean of 40 and a standard deviation of 8.  The mean of 16 independent observations of S is denoted as S with bar on top.

Explain why the standard deviation of S with bar on top is 2.

2b
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4 marks

By standardising and using the table of values for the normal distribution, find:

(i)
straight P left parenthesis S less than 39 right parenthesis

(ii)
P left parenthesis S with bar on top space less than 39 right parenthesis
2c
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3 marks

By standardising and using the table of critical values for the normal distribution, find:

(i)
the value of x such that straight P left parenthesis S greater than x right parenthesis equals 0.1

(ii)

the value of y such that straight P left parenthesis S with bar on top space greater than y right parenthesis equals 0.1.

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3a
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5 marks

The population mean of the random variable X space tilde space N left parenthesis mu comma 6 squared right parenthesis  is being tested using a null hypothesis straight H subscript 0 colon mu equals 15 against the alternative hypothesis straight H subscript 1 colon mu less than 15. A random sample of 10 observations is taken from the population and the sample mean is calculated as x with bar on top.

(i)
Write down the distribution of the sample mean,X with bar on top. 

(ii)
Find the test statistic, z, for ̅ x equals 12 and hence find P left parenthesis ̅ X less than 12 right parenthesis.

(iii)

Find the rejection region for ̅ X, when a 10% significance level is used.

3b
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4 marks

The population mean of the random variable Y tilde N left parenthesis mu comma 10 right parenthesis is being tested using a null hypothesis straight H subscript 0 colon mu equals 0 against an alternative hypothesis.  A random sample of 36 observations is taken from the population and the critical region for the test is Y with bar on top space greater than 0.7778.

(I)
Write down the appropriate alternative hypothesis for the test.

(ii)
Write down the distribution of the sample mean, Y with bar on top. 

(iii)
Find the level of significance that was used in the test.

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4a
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4 marks

A random sample of size 100 is taken from a population given by X tilde N left parenthesis mu comma 9 right parenthesis.

A two-tailed test is used to investigate the null hypothesis H subscript 0 colon mu equals 50 at the 10% level of significance.

(i)
Write down a suitable alternative hypothesis for this test.

(ii)
Find the rejection regions for X with bar on top for this test.
4b
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1 mark

Given that there is insufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis when x with bar on top equals k comma write down an inequality for the range of values of k.

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5
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5 marks

Write suitable null and alternative hypotheses for each of the following situations.

(i)
A butcher advertises that their burgers weigh 180 g.  A customer believes that the burgers are on average underweight.

(ii)
The CEO of a large multi-academy trust claims that the students in her schools spend on average 150 minutes on homework each night.  A parent wants to test if the claim is true, so he takes a random sample of 20 students and calculates the mean time spent on homework during a specific night.

(iii)
The average weight of an adult male in the UK was known to be 83.6 kg before the country had a lockdown.  After the lockdown ended the standard deviation of weights remained the same.  A fitness instructor is investigating whether adult males in the UK got heavier during the lockdown.

(iv)
The manager of a company buys a hot drink vending machine for his employees.  The machine is supposed to dispense 350 ml of coffee when a customer selects the medium option.  The manager believes that the machine does not dispense enough coffee.  To test this, he takes a sample of 25 medium coffees and calculates the mean as 342 ml.

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6a
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1 mark

The Starlighter is a new brand of flashlight.  It is known that the brightness, B lumens, of the light emitted from a Starlighter follows a normal distribution with a standard deviation of 15 lumens.  Annie, a salesperson, claims that the mean brightness of a Starlighter is greater than 110 lumens.  To test her claim, the null hypothesis straight H subscript 0 ∶ mu equals 110 is used with a 5% level of significance.

Write down a suitable alternative hypothesis to test Annie’s claim.

6b
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3 marks

To test Annie’s claim a random sample of 40 Starlighters is taken and the mean brightness, b with bar on top, is calculated.

(i)
Assuming that the null hypothesis is true write down the distribution of the sample mean, B with bar on top.

(ii)
Find the critical region for the test.
6c
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2 marks

Given that the mean of sample is b with bar on top equals 114.5 spacelumens,

(i)
State whether there is sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis at the 5% level of significance

(ii)
Write a conclusion, in context, to the test.

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7a
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2 marks

The wingspan of a small white butterfly, W cm, follows a normal distribution with a standard deviation of 0.8 cm.  A report states that the average wingspan of a small white butterfly is 4.1 cm.  Kenzie, a butterfly enthusiast, wants to conduct a two-tailed hypothesis test, using a 5% level of significance, to investigate the validity of the statement made by the report.

(i)
Write down a suitable null hypothesis for Kenzie’s test.

(ii)
Write down a suitable alternative hypothesis for Kenzie’s test.
7b
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3 marks

Kenzie uses a random sample of 6 small white butterflies and finds that the mean wingspan is 2.65 cm.  Kenzie starts off the hypothesis test as follows:

I f space H subscript 0 i s space t r u e space t h e n space W tilde space N left parenthesis 4.1 comma space 0.8 squared right parenthesis

straight P left parenthesis W less than 2.65 right parenthesis equals P left parenthesis Z space less than negative 1.8125 right parenthesis space space
space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space equals 1 space minus space 0.9651 space
space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space space equals 0.0349 space less than space 0.05

Identify and explain the two mistakes that Kenzie has made in his hypothesis test.

7c
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4 marks
(i)
Find the test statistic, z, that Kenzie should use.
(ii)
Write down the critical value for the test statistic, z, using the table of critical values.
(iii)
By comparing the test statistic, z, with the critical value, complete the hypothesis test.

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8a
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1 mark

A hypothesis test is used to investigate the population mean of the random variable X tilde N left parenthesis mu comma 10 squared right parenthesis. A random sample of size 16 is used to test the null hypothesis H subscript 0 ∶ mu equals 25.

Write down the probability of a Type I error if a 10% significance level is used.

8b
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3 marks

Find the probability of a Type I error given that the rejection region is

(i)
open parentheses ̅ X less than 21 close parentheses
(ii)
open parentheses ̅ X less than 21 close parentheses space o r space open parentheses ̅ X greater than 29 close parentheses
8c
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2 marks

Given that the rejection region is open parentheses ̅ X greater than 29 close parentheses, find the probability of a Type II error if the true mean is 27.

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1a
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2 marks

The mass of a Burmese cat, C, follows a normal distribution with a mean of 4.2 kg and a standard deviation 1.3 kg. Kamala, a cat breeder, claims that Burmese cats weigh more than the average if they live in a household that contains young children. To test her claim, Kamala takes a random sample of 25 cats that live in households containing young children.

The null hypothesis, H subscript 0   colon mu equals 4.2,  is used to test Kamala’s claim.

(i)
Write down the alternative hypothesis to test Kamala’s claim.
(ii)
Write down the distribution of the sample mean̅ C.
1b
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2 marks

Using a 5% significance level, find the rejection region of ̅ C for this test.

1c
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2 marks

Kamala calculates the mean mass of the 25 cats included in her sample to be 4.65 kg.

Determine the outcome of the hypothesis test at the 5% significance level, giving your answer in context.

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2a
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1 mark

The time, X seconds, that it takes Pierre to run a 400 m race can be modelled using