Sampling Distributions for Sample Means (College Board AP® Statistics): Study Guide

Mark Curtis

Written by: Mark Curtis

Reviewed by: Dan Finlay

Updated on

Sampling distributions for sample means

What is the sampling distribution for sample means?

  • If you take all possible samples of size n from a population and calculate the sample mean, x with bar on top, for each

    • then you would have all possible values of the sample mean

      • This collection of all possible sample means is called the sampling distribution for sample means

  • This sampling distribution is often shown on a graph to see its shape

    • e.g. a relative frequency chart or histogram

What are the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution for sample means?

  • If the population has a population mean of mu and a population standard deviation of sigma

    • then the sampling distribution for sample means, x with bar on top, for samples of size n:

      • has a mean of mu

      • and a standard deviation of fraction numerator sigma over denominator square root of n end fraction

    • Note how the standard deviation of sample means depends on n

      • A larger sample size gives a smaller standard deviation

What conditions are needed for normality?

  • If in addition to the above, the population is known to be normally distributed

    • then the sampling distribution for sample means is also normally distributed

      • with mean mu and standard deviation fraction numerator sigma over denominator square root of n end fraction

Diagram showing normal population distribution with mean mu and standard deviation sigma, sampling process, and resulting normal sampling distribution of sample mean with mean mu and standard deviation sigma over square root of n.
  • You can use these properties to calculate probabilities involving sample means, x with bar on top, which follow a normal distribution

    • The standardized z-statistic is fraction numerator x with bar on top minus mu over denominator fraction numerator sigma over denominator square root of n end fraction end fraction

      • mu and sigma will be given in the question

Examiner Tips and Tricks

Any questions in the exam asking for probabilities 'that the mean of the sample' is greater than or less than a value will require using the sampling distribution for sample means.

What do I do if the population is not normally distributed?

  • If the population is not normally distributed, then you cannot say the sampling distribution for sample means is normally distributed

    • This means you cannot work out any probabilities

  • However, despite not knowing its shape, the sampling distribution for sample means still has a

    • mean of mu and a standard deviation of fraction numerator sigma over denominator square root of n end fraction

      • i.e. you can always write these down, even though the distribution is unknown

Examiner Tips and Tricks

The mean, mu, and the standard deviation, fraction numerator sigma over denominator square root of n end fraction, are given in the exam under 'Sampling distributions for means'.

Worked Example

The weights of bags of cement are normally distributed with a mean weight of 40 kg and a standard deviation of 1.5 kg. A random sample of four bags of cement is taken.

Calculate the probability that the mean weight of the four bags of cement is less than 40.5 kg.

Answer:

This a probability question about the mean of a sample (a sample of the weights of 4 bags of cement)

You are told weights are normally distributed

This means that sample means follow an approximate normal distribution with mean mu and standard deviation fraction numerator sigma over denominator square root of n end fraction

Write down the value of mu

mu equals 40

Use the standard deviation of 1.5 kg and n equals 4 to find fraction numerator sigma over denominator square root of n end fraction

fraction numerator sigma over denominator square root of n end fraction equals fraction numerator 1.5 over denominator square root of 4 end fraction equals 0.75

Find the probability that the sample mean is less than 40.5, straight P open parentheses top enclose X less than 40.5 close parentheses

The z-score is

fraction numerator 40.5 minus 40 over denominator 0.75 end fraction equals 0.66666....

Find straight P open parentheses Z less than 0.666... close parentheses e.g. using the tables

straight P open parentheses Z less than 0.666... close parentheses equals 0.7486

The probability that the mean weight of the four bags of cement is less than 40.5 is 0.7486

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Mark Curtis

Author: Mark Curtis

Expertise: Maths Content Creator

Mark graduated twice from the University of Oxford: once in 2009 with a First in Mathematics, then again in 2013 with a PhD (DPhil) in Mathematics. He has had nine successful years as a secondary school teacher, specialising in A-Level Further Maths and running extension classes for Oxbridge Maths applicants. Alongside his teaching, he has written five internal textbooks, introduced new spiralling school curriculums and trained other Maths teachers through outreach programmes.

Dan Finlay

Reviewer: Dan Finlay

Expertise: Maths Subject Lead

Dan graduated from the University of Oxford with a First class degree in mathematics. As well as teaching maths for over 8 years, Dan has marked a range of exams for Edexcel, tutored students and taught A Level Accounting. Dan has a keen interest in statistics and probability and their real-life applications.