Probability - GCSE Maths Definition

Reviewed by: Dan Finlay

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Probability is a way of measuring how likely something is to happen. It helps us understand the chances of an event occurring, like flipping a coin and getting heads or pulling a certain coloured counter from a bag.

In mathematics, probabilities can be written as either fractions, decimals, or percentage. Some real-world industries (such as the gambling/betting industry) use slightly different systems.

Theoretical probabilities can be calculated when we know information about an experiment; for example, rolling a fair, normal, six-sided dice would mean each of the outcomes/events (1 to 6) have an equal chance of occurring (1 over 6). Experimental probabilities (relative frequency) would be used when such information is not available and so experience is used - for example, the probability of being stopped at a set of traffic lights.

Understanding probability helps us make predictions and decisions in everyday life and in maths!

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Dan Finlay

Reviewer: Dan Finlay

Expertise: Maths Subject Lead

Dan graduated from the University of Oxford with a First class degree in mathematics. As well as teaching maths for over 8 years, Dan has marked a range of exams for Edexcel, tutored students and taught A Level Accounting. Dan has a keen interest in statistics and probability and their real-life applications.

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