Theoretical probability - GCSE Maths Definition

Reviewed by: Dan Finlay

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In GCSE Mathematics, theoretical probability refers to a probability that can be found by knowing the scenario we are dealing with.
For example, if we know we are rolling a fair, six-sided, dice, it is valid to say each outcome has an equal chance of occurring and so the theoretical probability of rolling any particular number on the dice is 1 over 6.

Unlike relative frequency, the dice does not have to be rolled numerous times in order for us to be able to state a probability of a particular outcome occurring. Theoretical probabilities are based on, reasonable assumptions, such as a dice or coin being fair, or that each counter in a bag is of equal size and so has an equal chance of being selected.

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Dan Finlay

Reviewer: Dan Finlay

Expertise: Maths Subject Lead

Dan graduated from the University of Oxford with a First class degree in mathematics. As well as teaching maths for over 8 years, Dan has marked a range of exams for Edexcel, tutored students and taught A Level Accounting. Dan has a keen interest in statistics and probability and their real-life applications.

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