Syllabus Edition
First teaching 2018
Last exams 2026
Deficits & Surpluses (Cambridge (CIE) IGCSE Economics): Revision Note
Exam code: 0455 & 0987
Reasons for Deficits and Surpluses
- If there is a current account deficit, the value of imports must be greater than the value of exports 
- If there is a current account surplus, the value of exports must be greater than the value of imports 
 
Causes of Current Account Deficits
| Relatively low productivity | Relatively high value of the country’s currency | Relatively high rate of inflation | 
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| Rapid economic growth resulting in increased imports | Non-price factors such as poor quality and design | 
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Causes Of Current Account Surpluses
| Relatively high productivity | Relatively low value of the country’s currency | Relatively low rate of inflation | 
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Consequences of Deficits and Surpluses
- As global trade is a net sum game where the value of global exports = global imports, it follows that if one country is running a current account surplus then another country is running a deficit 
- Consequences of current account deficits include 
- Increasing unemployment: with falling demand for locally produced goods/services, fewer workers will be required and unemployment will rise 
- Slow down in economic growth or a recession: exports are a key component of the real GDP of many countries and a fall in exports may significantly reduce the level of economic growth 
- Lower standards of living: a fall in economic growth usually leads to a reduction in wages which leads to a decrease in the standards of living 
- Increased levels of borrowing: if the deficit is caused by continually increasing levels of imports, then it is likely that these imports are being paid for through higher levels of borrowing 
- Depreciating exchange rate: while this may ultimately help to increase exports again, it makes the cost of imported goods/raw materials more expensive and may cause cost push inflation 
- Consequences of current account surpluses include 
- Increasing employment: with increasing demand for locally produced goods/services, more workers will be required and unemployment will fall 
- Economic growth: exports are a key component of the real GDP of many countries and a rise in exports may significantly increase the level of economic growth 
- Higher standards of living: a rise in economic growth usually leads to a rise in wages which leads to an increase in the standards of living 
- Demand pull inflation: economic growth caused by a rise in exports will lead to demand pull inflation 
- Appreciating exchange rate: rising exports will appreciate the exchange rate which leads to imports now being cheaper which causes the demand for imports to rise 
Examiner Tips and Tricks
When answering questions on deficits, be absolutely clear if the question refers to a budget deficit or a current account deficit. Students often confuse these two!
A budget deficit refers to the government budget and occurs when the government spending > government tax revenue
A current account deficit occurs when the value of a nation's exports < value of a nation's imports
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