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First teaching 2025

First exams 2027

Changing Populations: Key Terms (Cambridge (CIE) IGCSE Geography): Revision Note

Exam code: 0460 & 0976

Bridgette Barrett

Written by: Bridgette Barrett

Reviewed by: Jacque Cartwright

Updated on

Changing Population: Key Terms

Population Growth & Decline

Birth rate – The number of live babies born per 1,000 people in a year.

Death rate – The number of deaths per 1,000 people in a year.

Emigration – The act of leaving one country to live in another.

Fertility rate – The number of live births per 1,000 women aged 15–49 in a year.

Immigration – The act of moving into a country to live permanently.

Life expectancy – The average number of years a person is expected to live from birth.

Migration – The movement of people from one place to another, either within a country or between countries.

Natural increase – When the birth rate is higher than the death rate, causing the population to grow.

Net migration – The difference between the number of people entering and leaving a country.

Population explosion – A rapid increase in the size of the world population, especially during the 20th century.

Population growth rate – The rate at which a population increases or decreases in a year, usually shown as a percentage.

Total Fertility Rate (TFR) – The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime.

Population Policies

Anti-natalist policy – A policy that aims to reduce birth rates and slow population growth.

Baby bonus – A financial reward given to parents for having children, used in countries like Singapore.

Contraception – Methods or devices used to prevent pregnancy.

Family planning – Programmes that provide education and access to contraception to control family size.

One-child policy – A population control policy in China (1979–2016) which limited most families to having one child.

Pro-natalist policy – A policy designed to increase the birth rate and population size.

Singapore population policy – Switched from anti-natalist to pro-natalist in 1987, offering incentives like tax breaks and childcare.

Vietnam birth control campaign – Included limits on the number of children, fines, access to abortion and contraception, and public education.

The Demographic Transition Model

Demographic Transition Model (DTM) – A model showing how birth and death rates affect population growth as a country develops.

Stage 1 (High Stationary) – High birth and death rates; low total population growth due to poor healthcare, famine, and low life expectancy.

Stage 2 (Early Expanding) – Death rate falls due to improved healthcare and clean water; birth rate remains high, leading to rapid population growth.

Stage 3 (Late Expanding) – Birth rate starts to fall due to contraception, education, and urbanisation; population still grows but more slowly.

Stage 4 (Low Stationary) – Both birth and death rates are low and stable; population is high but growing slowly.

Stage 5 (Declining?) – Birth rate falls below death rate, leading to a slow decline in total population.

Limitations of the DTM – Does not include migration or sudden events like wars or pandemics and is based on Western Europe’s development path.

Strengths of the DTM – Useful for understanding and comparing stages of population change and planning for future population needs.

Factors Influencing Population Structures

Ageing population – A population with a growing number of older people, often due to longer life expectancy and lower birth rates.

Dependency ratio – The ratio of people not in the workforce (young and old dependents) compared to those who are economically active.

Emigration – When people leave a country to live in another country.

Fertility rate – The average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime.

Infant mortality rate – The number of babies who die before their first birthday per 1,000 live births.

Natural increase – When the birth rate is higher than the death rate.

Net migration – The difference between immigration and emigration. A positive number means more people are entering than leaving.

Population pyramid – A graph showing the age and gender structure of a population.

Working-age population – People between roughly 15 and 64 years old who are considered economically active.

Youthful and Ageing Populations

Ageing population (continued) – Seen in many high-income countries. It increases pressure on health services and pensions and often leads to labour shortages.

Angel plan – A Japanese policy introduced in 1994 to increase the birth rate through childcare and family support.

Cultural norms – Traditions and beliefs in a society, such as large families, which can influence population structure.

Disposable income – The amount of money people have available to spend after taxes, often higher in retired people in ageing societies.

High dependency ratio – When many young or old people rely on a smaller working-age population for support.

Immigration policy – Laws and rules about people moving into a country; Japan revised its immigration law in 2018 to allow more workers.

Plus One proposal – A Japanese population policy that focuses on increasing daycare access and creating parent-friendly workplaces.

Social services – Government services such as healthcare, pensions, and education, which are impacted by changing population structures.

Volunteering – Older people in ageing societies often contribute to the community through unpaid roles.

Youthful population – A population with a large number of children and young people, often found in low-income countries due to high birth rates.

Population Case Study: Japan

Ageing population in Japan – Over 33% of people are over 60, leading to a higher death rate and shrinking population.

Birth rate in Japan – Currently 6.8 per 1,000 people – very low and below the replacement level.

Death rate in Japan – Has risen to 11.1 per 1,000 people, largely due to the ageing population.

Fertility rate in Japan – Around 1.36 children per woman, well below the replacement level of 2.1.

Life expectancy – Japan has the highest in the world, at 84.36 years, contributing to the ageing population.

Population decline – Japan’s population fell from 128.1 million in 2010 to 125.8 million in 2020, and continues to decline.

Population pyramid (Japan) – Has a pentagon shape with a narrow base, showing fewer children and many older people.

School closures – Japan has an average of 450 schools closing each year due to falling student numbers.

Worker shortages – Japan predicts a shortage of 380,000 elderly care workers by 2025, due to population decline.

Types of Migrant

Asylum seeker – A person who has left their country and is seeking protection in another country due to fear of persecution.

Economic migrant – Someone who moves to another country for better job opportunities or to improve their standard of living.

Emigrant – A person who leaves their home country to live in another.

Immigrant – A person who enters a new country to live there permanently or long-term.

Internal migrant – Someone who moves within the same country, usually from rural to urban areas.

International migrant – A person who moves across national borders to live in another country.

Refugee – Someone who has been forced to flee their country due to conflict, persecution, or disaster.

Seasonal migrant – A person who moves temporarily to work during a specific time of year (e.g. harvest time).

Causes of Migration

Conflict – Wars or violence can force people to flee for safety.

Economic opportunity – Higher wages, more jobs, and better standards of living pull people to new places.

Environmental disaster – Natural events such as droughts, floods or earthquakes that displace populations.

Family reunification – Moving to join family members already living in another place.

Healthcare and education – Better services attract migrants seeking a higher quality of life.

Job shortages (Push Factor) – Lack of employment opportunities at home may push people to migrate.

Political instability – Corruption or weak governments may lead people to leave for a safer, more stable society.

Poverty – People migrate in search of financial security and a better quality of life.

Impacts of Migration

Brain drain – The loss of skilled workers from one country to another.

Cultural exchange – The spread and sharing of languages, food, and customs between people from different places.

Discrimination – Migrants may face prejudice or unfair treatment in the destination country.

Pressure on services – In areas with high migration, schools, hospitals, and housing may become overcrowded.

Remittances – Money sent home by migrants, which supports families and the economy in their origin country.

Skill shortages – The source country may struggle to replace workers who have migrated.

Workforce growth – Migrants can fill labour gaps and help economic growth in the destination country.

Strategies to Manage International Migration

Border control – Monitoring and managing who enters and leaves a country.

Guest worker schemes – Programmes allowing people to work temporarily in a country to fill labour shortages.

Immigration quotas – A limit on how many people can enter a country from different regions each year.

International agreements – Countries cooperating to manage refugee flows or control illegal migration.

Language & integration support – Classes and services that help migrants adapt to their new country.

Visa system – Rules that control who can legally enter and stay in a country for work, study, or family.

Work permits – Documents that allow migrants to legally work in a foreign country for a set period.

Migration Case Study: Mexico–USA

Border wall – Physical barrier between Mexico and the USA to reduce illegal immigration.

Coyote (smuggler) – A person paid to illegally transport migrants across the border.

Illegal immigration – Entry or stay in a country without official permission.

Job opportunities – A major pull factor to the USA, particularly in agriculture, construction, and services.

Push factors (Mexico) – High crime, low wages, unemployment, and poverty encourage people to leave.

Remittances to Mexico – Many migrants in the USA send money home, boosting the Mexican economy.

Strain on US services – Migrants may increase demand for healthcare, housing, and education in the USA.

US immigration policy – Includes quotas, deportations, and patrols aimed at reducing illegal crossings.

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Bridgette Barrett

Author: Bridgette Barrett

Expertise: Geography, History, Religious Studies & Environmental Studies Subject Lead

After graduating with a degree in Geography, Bridgette completed a PGCE over 30 years ago. She later gained an MA Learning, Technology and Education from the University of Nottingham focussing on online learning. At a time when the study of geography has never been more important, Bridgette is passionate about creating content which supports students in achieving their potential in geography and builds their confidence.

Jacque Cartwright

Reviewer: Jacque Cartwright

Expertise: Geography Content Creator

Jacque graduated from the Open University with a BSc in Environmental Science and Geography before doing her PGCE with the University of St David’s, Swansea. Teaching is her passion and has taught across a wide range of specifications – GCSE/IGCSE and IB but particularly loves teaching the A-level Geography. For the past 5 years Jacque has been teaching online for international schools, and she knows what is needed to get the top scores on those pesky geography exams.