Logistic Models (DP IB Applications & Interpretation (AI)): Revision Note

Dan Finlay

Written by: Dan Finlay

Reviewed by: Lucy Kirkham

Updated on

Logistic functions & graphs

What are the key features of logistic graphs?

  • A logistic function is of the form space f open parentheses x close parentheses equals fraction numerator L over denominator 1 plus C straight e to the power of negative k x end exponent end fraction

    • L, C & k are positive constants

  • Its domain is the set of all real values

  • Its range is the set of real positive values less than L

  • The y-intercept is at the point open parentheses 0 comma space fraction numerator L over denominator 1 plus C end fraction close parentheses

  • There are no roots

  • There is a horizontal asymptote at y equals L

    • This is the upper limit of the function

      • This is called the carrying capacity

    • e.g. it could represent the limit of a population size

  • There is a horizontal asymptote at y equals 0

  • The graph is always increasing

Sigmoid curve graph with equation y = L/(1 + Ce^(-kx)) on the right. Dashed line y = L, point at (0, L/(1+C)), axes labelled x and y.
Example of a logistic graph and its key features

Logistic models

What are the parameters of logistic models?

  • A logistic model is of the form space f open parentheses x close parentheses equals fraction numerator L over denominator 1 plus C straight e to the power of negative k x end exponent end fraction

  • The value of L represents the limiting capacity

    • This is the value that the model tends to as x gets large

  • The value of C (along with the L) helps to determine the initial value of the model

    • The initial value is given by fraction numerator L over denominator 1 plus C end fraction

    • Once L has been determined you can then determine C

  • The value of k determines the rate of increase of the model

What can be modelled using a logistic model?

  • A logistic model can be used when the variable initially increases exponentially and then tends towards a limit

    • H(t) is the height of a giraffe t weeks after birth

    • P(t) is the number of bacteria on an apple t seconds after removing from protective packaging

    • P(t) is the population of rabbits in a woodlands area t weeks after releasing an initial amount into the area

What are possible limitations of a logistic model?

  • A logistic graph is bounded by the limit

    • However in real-life the variable might be unbounded

      • e.g. the cumulative total number of births in a town over time

  • A logistic graph is always increasing

    • However, in real-life there could be periods where the variable decreased or fluctuates

Worked Example

The number of fish in a lake, F, can be modelled by the function

F open parentheses t close parentheses equals fraction numerator 800 over denominator 1 plus C straight e to the power of negative 0.6 t end exponent end fraction

where t is the number of months after fish were introduced to the lake.

a) Initially, 50 fish were introduced to the lake. Find the value of C.

2-6-3-ib-ai-hl-logistic-model-a-we-solution

b) Write down the limiting capacity for the number of fish in the lake.

2-6-3-ib-ai-hl-logistic-model-b-we-solution

c) Calculate the number of months it takes until there are 500 fish in the lake.

2-6-3-ib-ai-hl-logistic-model-c-we-solution

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Dan Finlay

Author: Dan Finlay

Expertise: Maths Subject Lead

Dan graduated from the University of Oxford with a First class degree in mathematics. As well as teaching maths for over 8 years, Dan has marked a range of exams for Edexcel, tutored students and taught A Level Accounting. Dan has a keen interest in statistics and probability and their real-life applications.

Lucy Kirkham

Reviewer: Lucy Kirkham

Expertise: Head of Content Creation

Lucy has been a passionate Maths teacher for over 12 years, teaching maths across the UK and abroad helping to engage, interest and develop confidence in the subject at all levels.Working as a Head of Department and then Director of Maths, Lucy has advised schools and academy trusts in both Scotland and the East Midlands, where her role was to support and coach teachers to improve Maths teaching for all.