Central Limit Theorem (DP IB Applications & Interpretation (AI): HL): Revision Note

Dan Finlay

Written by: Dan Finlay

Reviewed by: Roger B

Updated on

Central limit theorem

What is the Central Limit Theorem?

  • The Central Limit Theorem says that if a sufficiently large random sample is taken from any distribution X then the sample mean distribution X¯ can be approximated by a normal distribution

    • In your exam n > 30 will be considered sufficiently large for the sample size

  • Therefore X¯ can be modelled (approximately) by N(μ,σ2n)

    • μ is the mean of X

    • σ² is the variance of X

    • n is the size of the sample

Do I always need to use the Central Limit Theorem when working with the sample mean distribution?

  • No – the Central Limit Theorem is not needed when the population is normally distributed

  • If X is normally distributed then X¯ is normally distributed

    • This is true regardless of the size of the sample

    • The Central Limit Theorem is not needed

  • If X is not normally distributed then X¯ is approximately normally distributed

    • Provided the sample size is large enough

    • The Central Limit Theorem is needed

Worked Example

The integers 1 to 29 are written on counters and placed in a bag. The expected value when one is picked at random is 15 and the variance is 70. Susie randomly picks 40 integers, returning the counter after each selection.

a) Find the probability that the mean of Susie's 40 numbers is less than 13.

Answer:

4-9-1-ib-ai-hl-central-limit-theorem-a-we-solution

b) Explain whether it was necessary to use the Central Limit Theorem in your calculation.

Answer:

4-9-1-ib-ai-hl-central-limit-theorem-b-we-solution

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Dan Finlay

Author: Dan Finlay

Expertise: Portfolio Lead

Dan graduated from the University of Oxford with a First class degree in mathematics. As well as teaching maths for over 8 years, Dan has marked a range of exams for Edexcel, tutored students and taught A Level Accounting. Dan has a keen interest in statistics and probability and their real-life applications.

Roger B

Reviewer: Roger B

Expertise: Development Editor

Roger's teaching experience stretches all the way back to 1992, and in that time he has taught students at all levels between Year 7 and university undergraduate. Having conducted and published postgraduate research into the mathematical theory behind quantum computing, he is more than confident in dealing with mathematics at any level the exam boards might throw at you.