Geometric & Negative Binomial Distributions (Edexcel A Level Further Maths: Further Statistics 1): Exam Questions

Exam code: 9FM0

32 mins3 questions
1a
1 mark

At a fairground, each spin of a wheel shows WIN with probability 15, independently of all other spins. A player spins the wheel repeatedly until it shows WIN. The random variable X represents the number of spins needed.

State the distribution of X.

1b
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2 marks

Show that P(X3)=61125.

1c
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5 marks

A contestant plays this game once each day. Over 80 days, the mean number of spins per day, X¯, is recorded.

Using the Central Limit Theorem, estimate P(4.4<X¯<5.8).

2a
4 marks

The random variable X has probability generating function GX(t), where

GX(t)=(98t)12

The independent random variables X1, X2, X3 and X4 each have the same distribution as X. The random variable Y is defined by

Y=X1+X2+X3+X4+2

By finding the probability generating function of Y, state the name of the distribution of Y.

2b
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2 marks

Hence, or otherwise, find P(X1+X2+X3+X4=2).

3a
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2 marks

The probability of winning a prize when playing a single game of Ringo is 13. When more than one game is played, the games are independent.

Sam plays 12 games.

Find the probability that Sam wins 5 or more prizes.

3b
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2 marks

Tessa plays a series of games.

Find the probability that Tessa wins her 3rd prize on her 10th game.

3c
6 marks

Rama invites Sam and Tessa to play some new games of Ringo. They must pay Rama £2 for each game they play, but Rama will pay them £3 the first time they win a prize, £6 the second time, and £(3w) when they win their wth prize.

Sam decides to play n games of Ringo with Rama.

Show that Sam's expected profit is £16(n27n).

3d
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4 marks

Given that n=6, find the probability that Sam does not make a loss.

3e
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4 marks

Tessa agrees to play Ringo with Rama. She will play games until she wins r prizes and then she will stop.

Find, in terms of r, Tessa's expected profit.