Venn Diagrams with Conditional Probability (Cambridge (CIE) AS Maths: Probability & Statistics 1): Revision Note

Exam code: 9709

Paul

Written by: Paul

Reviewed by: Dan Finlay

Updated on

Further Venn Diagrams

What do you mean by further Venn diagrams?

  • The Venn diagrams used here are no more complicated than those in the first Venn Diagrams revision note, however

    • questions may use set notation as well, or alongside contextual questions

    • there may be more detailed use of conditional probability

    • mutually exclusive, three events and other unusual Venn diagram setups may be involved

2-3-3-cie-fig0-special-venn

How do I solve conditional probability problems using Venn diagrams?

  • Interpreting questions in terms of AND (), OR (), complement ( ‘ ) and
    “given that” ( | )

  • Use mini-Venn diagrams to sketch and shade the regions you are dealing with – use different colours if available or different styles of shading if not

    • Shading can help you see the answer

since P(A|B)=P(AB)P(B) shade B  first, then shade AB

the answer will then be "double shading""single shading"

plx9zFR~_3-2-2-fig1-set-notation-examples

Worked Example

Three events, A, B and C are such that

        events A and C are mutually exclusive

        P(AB)=0.2P(BC)=0.3P((ABC)')=0.1P(B)=0.7P(A')=0.75.

Find 

(i) P(A|B)

(ii) P(A'|C')

(iii) P(C|(AB)')

Answer:

2-3-3-ciie-fig2-we-solution_part1
2-3-3-ciie-fig2-we-solution_part2

Examiner Tips and Tricks

  • Although very versatile, Venn diagrams may not always be the best option

    • use a tree diagram if one event follows another

e.g.  two beads drawn from a bag without replacement

  • use a two-way table for showing how many items/people are in associated categories
    e.g.  A school year group split by gender selecting which sport they wish to play

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Paul

Author: Paul

Expertise: Maths Content Creator

Paul has taught mathematics for 20 years and has been an examiner for Edexcel for over a decade. GCSE, A level, pure, mechanics, statistics, discrete – if it’s in a Maths exam, Paul will know about it. Paul is a passionate fan of clear and colourful notes with fascinating diagrams.

Dan Finlay

Reviewer: Dan Finlay

Expertise: Portfolio Lead

Dan graduated from the University of Oxford with a First class degree in mathematics. As well as teaching maths for over 8 years, Dan has marked a range of exams for Edexcel, tutored students and taught A Level Accounting. Dan has a keen interest in statistics and probability and their real-life applications.