Business Growth in the World Confectionery Market (Edexcel A Level Business): Revision Note

Exam code: 9BS0

Lisa Eades

Written by: Lisa Eades

Reviewed by: Steve Vorster

Updated on

Confectionery growth

  • The global confectionery market is much larger than the UK market and is forecast to keep growing over the next decade

  • Research organisations estimate that global confectionery was worth about US$214bn in 2024, with forecasts rising to about US$278bn by 2032

  • Drivers of global growth include:

    • Mature markets, such as the UK and much of Western Europe, that grow slowly

    • Higher-growth markets, especially in parts of Asia, where rising incomes and urbanisation are increasing demand for branded snacks

  • Europe is still a major region for confectionery consumption and value at around 38% of the market in 2023

Global market size and forecast

Year

Global confectionery market value (US$ bn)

What this suggests

2023

206.97

  • Very large market already, so growth is steady rather than explosive

2024

213.74

  • Growth continues even with cost pressures

2032 (forecast)

278.36

  • Long-term growth is expected to continue

  • This estimate suggests a growth rate of about 3.36% per year from 2024–2032

    • Different market reports give different forecasts, because they use different definitions (for example, whether chewing gum is included and which countries are counted)

  • Chocolate confectionery is the largest market segment

    • Chocolate is popular across many countries

    • Growth may be slowed by high cocoa costs and price sensitivity, especially when inflation is high

  • Sugar confectionery is set to achieve faster growth in some forecasts

    • Innovation is easier because new flavours and textures can be launched quickly, such as gummies and chewy sweets

    • There is strong youth appeal in some markets

Regional growth patterns

  • Global growth is not evenly spread

  • In general, mature markets grow more slowly because most consumers already buy confectionery regularly

  • Emerging markets can grow faster as incomes rise and modern retail expands

Region

Growth patterns

Growth drivers

Europe

  • Europe accounts for a very large share of global confectionery sales by value

  • Growth across the region is typically slow and steady because

    • Most European consumers already buy confectionery frequently

    • Population growth is low in many European countries

    • Markets such as the UK, Germany and France are highly competitive and saturated

  • Growth in Europe is therefore driven mainly by:

    • Price increases

    • Premiumisation

    • Product innovation rather than higher sales volumes

  • Europe offers low risk but limited growth potential, which suits established brands but provides fewer opportunities for rapid expansion

North America

  • North America, particularly the United States, is another large and mature confectionery market

  • Growth in this region is:

    • Slightly faster than Europe in some years

    • Still relatively modest compared to emerging markets

  • Key factors influencing growth include:

    • Strong demand for chocolate and snack products

    • Premium and sharing formats support sales value growth

    • Health concerns and sugar reduction pressures limit volume growth

  • For multinational firms, North America provides stable revenues but limited long-term growth

Latin America

  • Latin America is often described as a medium-to-high growth region for confectionery

  • Growth in this region is driven by:

    • A relatively young population

    • Strong cultural acceptance of sweet snacks

    • Increasing availability of branded products through modern retail

  • However, growth can be uneven due to:

    • Economic instability in some countries

    • High inflation and currency volatility

  • This makes Latin America an attractive but higher-risk growth market for global businesses

Asia-Pacific

  • Asia-Pacific is widely seen as the fastest-growing region in the global confectionery market

  • Growth is supported by several structural factors:

    • Rising incomes and expanding middle classes in countries such as China and India

    • Rapid urbanisation, leading to greater demand for packaged snacks

    • Growth of modern retail formats, such as supermarkets and convenience stores

    • Expansion of e-commerce and mobile shopping

  • Although growth rates vary widely between countries, the region offers significant long-term growth potential, making it a key focus for multinational investment

Middle East & Africa

  • The Middle East and Africa represent a smaller share of global confectionery sales, but they are increasingly important for future growth.

  • Growth is supported by:

    • Rapid population growth in many African countries

    • Urbanisation and expansion of retail infrastructure

    • Growing demand for affordable treats

  • However, growth is limited by:

    • Lower average incomes

    • Political and economic instability in some regions

  • As a result, this region offers long-term potential, but growth is slower and less predictable.

Biscuits growth

  • Biscuits are sometimes treated as a separate market from confectionery

    • However, they are strongly linked because they compete for the same snacking spend and use similar routes to market (supermarkets, convenience and online)

  • Sources suggest the global biscuits and cookies market could grow from US$87.39bn in 2023 to US$120.15bn by 2031, which is 4.1% growth

Global biscuits and cookies market growth

Year

Global market value (US$ bn)

What this suggests

2023

87.39

  • Large, established category with strong everyday demand

2031 (forecast)

120.15

  • Faster growth than many confectionery estimates

Reasons for strong global growth

Three coloured boxes with text: "Adaptability" in blue, "Match routines" in orange, and "Health & lifestyle trends" in yellow.
  • Biscuits are easy to adapt to local tastes

    • Flavours, sweetness levels and textures can be adjusted for different countries

  • They fit everyday routines

    • Biscuits are often bought as repeat cup of tea / snack items, not just for gifting

  • They link to health and lifestyle trends

    • Growth areas often include free-from, lower sugar, and premium indulgent cookies

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Lisa Eades

Author: Lisa Eades

Expertise: Business Content Creator

Lisa has taught A Level, GCSE, BTEC and IBDP Business for over 20 years and is a senior Examiner for Edexcel. Lisa has been a successful Head of Department in Kent and has offered private Business tuition to students across the UK. Lisa loves to create imaginative and accessible resources which engage learners and build their passion for the subject.

Steve Vorster

Reviewer: Steve Vorster

Expertise: Economics & Business Subject Lead

Steve has taught A Level, GCSE, IGCSE Business and Economics - as well as IBDP Economics and Business Management. He is an IBDP Examiner and IGCSE textbook author. His students regularly achieve 90-100% in their final exams. Steve has been the Assistant Head of Sixth Form for a school in Devon, and Head of Economics at the world's largest International school in Singapore. He loves to create resources which speed up student learning and are easily accessible by all.