Cumulative Probability Distributions for Discrete Random Variables (College Board AP® Statistics): Study Guide

Dan Finlay

Written by: Dan Finlay

Reviewed by: Lucy Kirkham

Updated on

Discrete cumulative probability distributions

What is a discrete cumulative probability distribution?

  • A discrete cumulative probability distribution shows the probability that a discrete random variable is less than or equal to each of its possible values

  • A discrete cumulative probability distribution can be given as either a table or a function

  • To find the cumulative probability P(Xx)

    • identify the values of the random variable that are less than or equal to the x

    • add together the probabilities of these values

  • The cumulative probability of the smallest value is always equal to the probability of that value

    • e.g. if X can only take the values 0, 2 or 4, then P(X0)=P(X=0)

  • The cumulative probability of the largest value is always equal to 1

    • e.g. if X can only take the values 0, 2 or 4, then P(X4)=1

Diagram showing probability and cumulative probability distributions. First probability is 0.5, second is 0.3, third is 0.2. Cumulative sums are 0.5, 0.8, and 1.
Example of a cumulative probability distribution

How can I find probabilities using a cumulative probability distribution?

  • To find P(Xx)

    • if X can take the value x

      • read P(Xx) directly from the distribution

    • if X cannot take the value x

      • find the biggest value of X that is less than x

      • find the cumulative probability of this value

        • e.g. if X can take the values, 1, 2, 3 or 5 then P(X4)=P(X3)

  • To find P(X<x)

    • find the biggest value of X that is less than x

    • find the cumulative probability of this value

      • e.g. if X can take the values, 1, 2, 3 or 5 then P(X<5)=P(X3)

  • To find P(X>x) use the identity

    • P(X>x)=1P(Xx)

  • To find P(Xx) use the identity

    • P(Xx)=1P(X<x)

  • To find P(aXb) use the identity

    • P(Xb)P(X<a)

      • Note that a is not included in the second inequality

  • To find P(X=x)

    • find the biggest value of X that is less than x

    • find the cumulative probability of this value

    • subtract this probability from P(Xx)

      • e.g. if X can take the values, 1, 2, 3 or 5 then P(X=3)=P(X3)P(X2)

Worked Example

X is a discrete random variable that can take any positive integer value. The cumulative probability distribution is given by the function P(Xx)=1x+1, where x is a positive integer.

(a) Find P(X=1).

(b) Find P(X5).

(c) What is the value of P(X3.5)?

(A) 0

(B) 14

(C) 29

(D) 15

Answer:

(a)

1 is the first positive integer and so is the smallest value that X can take

Therefore P(X1)=P(X=1)

Substitute x=1 into the function

P(X1)=11+1=12

P(X=1)=12

(b)

Use the identity P(Xx)=1P(X<x)

P(X5)=1P(X<5)

4 is the largest value that X can take that is also less than 5

P(X<5)=P(X4)

Substitute x=4 into the function

P(X4)=14+1=15

This is also P(X<5) so substitute into P(X5)=1P(X<5)

P(X5)=115=45

P(X5)=45

(c)

X cannot take the value of 3.5

3 is the largest value that X can take that is also less than 3.5

Substitute x=3 into the function

P(X3)=13+1=14

The correct answer is B

Unlock more, it's free!

Join the 100,000+ Students that ❤️ Save My Exams

the (exam) results speak for themselves:

Build on this topic

Dan Finlay

Author: Dan Finlay

Expertise: Portfolio Lead

Dan graduated from the University of Oxford with a First class degree in mathematics. As well as teaching maths for over 8 years, Dan has marked a range of exams for Edexcel, tutored students and taught A Level Accounting. Dan has a keen interest in statistics and probability and their real-life applications.

Lucy Kirkham

Reviewer: Lucy Kirkham

Expertise: Content Creator

Lucy has been a passionate Maths teacher for over 12 years, teaching maths across the UK and abroad helping to engage, interest and develop confidence in the subject at all levels.Working as a Head of Department and then Director of Maths, Lucy has advised schools and academy trusts in both Scotland and the East Midlands, where her role was to support and coach teachers to improve Maths teaching for all.