Sampling Distributions for Sample Means (College Board AP® Statistics): Study Guide
Syllabus Edition
First teaching 2026
First exams 2027
Sampling distributions for sample means
What is the sampling distribution for sample means?
If you take all possible samples of size
from a population and calculate the sample mean,
, for each
then you would have all possible values of the sample mean
This collection of all possible sample means is called the sampling distribution for sample means
This sampling distribution is often shown on a graph to see its shape
e.g. a relative frequency chart or histogram
What are the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution for sample means?
If the population has a population mean of
and a population standard deviation of
then the sampling distribution for sample means,
, for samples of size
:
has a mean of
and a standard deviation of
Note how the standard deviation of sample means depends on
A larger sample size gives a smaller standard deviation
The standard deviation of
assumes sampling was done with replacement
If the sampling is carried out without replacement then the sample must satisy:
The randomization conditon
a random sampling method should be used
The 10% condition
the sample size is less than 10% of the population size
What conditions are needed for normality?
If in addition to the above, the population is known to be normally distributed
then the sampling distribution for sample means is also normally distributed
with mean
and standard deviation

You can use these properties to calculate probabilities involving sample means,
, which follow a normal distribution
The standardized z-statistic is
and
will be given in the question
Examiner Tips and Tricks
Any questions in the exam asking for probabilities 'that the mean of the sample' is greater than or less than a value will require using the sampling distribution for sample means.
What do I do if the population is not normally distributed?
If the population is not normally distributed, then the sampling distribution for sample means is not guaranteed to be normally distributed
However, despite not knowing its shape, the sampling distribution for sample means still has a
mean of
and a standard deviation of
i.e. you can always write these down, even though the distribution is unknown
Examiner Tips and Tricks
The mean, , and the standard deviation,
, are given in the exam under 'Sampling distributions for means'.
Can I use the Central Limit theorem if the population is not normally distributed?
If the population is not normally distributed, but the sample size is large (
)
then the Central Limit theorem can be applied
meaning the sampling distribution for the sample means is approximately normally distributed with the parameters above
i.e. mean
and standard deviation
You can use these properties to estimate probabilities involving sample means,
, as they follow an approximate normal distribution
Its standardized z-statistic is
Worked Example
The weights of bags of cement are normally distributed with a mean weight of 40 kg and a standard deviation of 1.5 kg. A random sample of four bags of cement is taken.
Calculate the probability that the mean weight of the four bags of cement is less than 40.5 kg.
Answer:
This a probability question about the mean of a sample (a sample of the weights of 4 bags of cement)
You are told weights are normally distributed
This means that sample means follow an approximate normal distribution with mean and standard deviation
Write down the value of
Use the standard deviation of 1.5 kg and to find
Find the probability that the sample mean is less than 40.5,
The z-score is
Find e.g. using the tables
The probability that the mean weight of the four bags of cement is less than 40.5 is 0.7486
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