Explain why future global warming may be inevitable.
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Exam code: 9GE0
Explain why future global warming may be inevitable.
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Table 1 below shows the area of the northern hemisphere covered by either snow or ice in January and July for selected years between 1970 and 2020.
Year | Area in million km^2^ January | Rank Order | Area in million km^2^ July | Rank Order | d | d^2^ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1970 | 48.26 | 3 | 4.94 | 2= | 0.5 | 0.25 |
1975 | 44.95 | 11 | 4.60 | 4 | 7 | 49 |
1980 | 45.91 | 9 | 5.40 | 1 | 8 | 64 |
1985 | 50.18 | 1 | 4.94 | 2= | –1.5 | 2.25 |
1990 | 45.67 | 10 | 2.97 | 8 | 2 | 4 |
1995 | 46.13 | 8 | 3.97 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
2000 | 47.61 | 4 | 3.55 | 6= | –2.5 | 6.25 |
2005 | 46.56 | 6 | 3.55 | 6= | –0.5 | |
2010 | 48.84 | 2 | 2.51 | 10 | –8 | 64 |
2015 | 47.15 | 5 | 2.52 | 9 | –4 | 16 |
2020 | 46.36 | 7 | 2.41 | 11 | –4 | 16 |
Σd2 = |
Table 1
Complete Table 1 by calculating the value of d2 for the year 2005 and then calculating the value of Σd2.
Using the formula below, calculate R~s~. Give your answer to two decimal places. You must show your working.
R~s~ = 1 −
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Explain the differences between colonial and neo-colonial mechanisms of maintaining power.
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Table 1 below shows data for the level of development of the 38 members of the United Nations that are landlocked countries. A Chi-squared test was used to establish if there is an association between being landlocked and the level of development.
Two hypotheses were set up:
Null hypothesis: There is no significant association between the level of development and being landlocked.
Alternative hypothesis: There is a significant association between the level of development and being landlocked.
Using the formula and the data in Table 1 below, calculate the value of χ2. Show your working.
χ2 =
Level of development | Low human development | Medium human development | High human development | Very high human development |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Observed | 14 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
Expected | 9.50 | 9.50 | 9.50 | 9.50 |
(O-E)2 | 20.25 | 30.25 | 6.25 | 12.25 |
(O-E)2 / E | 2.13 | 3.18 | 0.66 | 1.29 |
Table 1
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Explain how one theory of development can help an understanding of global patterns of power.
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The table below shows data for the 12 richest countries (measured using GDP per capita). The formula for Spearman's rank correlation coefficient is given below.
R = 1 −
Complete the table below and calculate the value of R to two decimal places, where n = 12. Show your working.
Country (population size in millions) | GDP per capita in $US | Rank | Military spending as a % of GDP | Rank | d | d^2^ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United States (324.5) | 57,436 | 10 | 5.7 | 4 | 6 | 36 |
Saudi Arabia (32.9) | 55,158 | 11 | 15.2 | 1 | 10 | 100 |
Netherlands (17.0) | 51,049 | 12 | 2.8 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
United Arab Emirates (9.4) | 67,871 | 8 | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
Switzerland (8.4) | 59,561 | 9 | 1.7 | 10 | -1 | 1 |
Singapore (5.7) | 87,855 | 3 | 4.8 | 6 | -3 | 9 |
Norway (5.3) | 69,249 | 6 | 2.9 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
Ireland (4.7) | 69,231 | 7 | 0.6 | 12 | -5 | 25 |
Kuwait (4.1) | 71,887 | 5 | 8.2 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
Qatar (2.6) | 127,660 | 1 | 3.2 | 7 | -6 | 36 |
Luxembourg (0.6) | 104,003 | 2 | 1.1 | 11 | -9 | 81 |
Brunei (0.4) | 76,884 | 4 | 6.6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Σd2 = |
Table 1: Military spending as a % of GDP for the 12 richest countries, as measured by their GDP per capita
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Explain one reason why many national governments have been keen to join free trade blocs.
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Table 1 below shows data for the 10 countries of ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) in 2013.
Complete the table below and calculate the GDP per capita (per person) for the ASEAN free trade bloc. Show your working.
Countries | Size of economy GDP (US$ billions) | Population (millions) | GDP per capita (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|
Brunei | 16.2 | 0.4 | 40 500 |
Cambodia | 16.2 | 15.2 | 1 066 |
Indonesia | 868.4 | 250.8 | 3 462 |
Laos | 11.0 | 6.8 | 1 617 |
Malaysia | 313.2 | 29.7 | 10 545 |
Myanmar | 44.9 | 62.0 | 724 |
Philippines | 272.1 | 98.4 | 2 765 |
Singapore | 297.9 | 5.4 | 55 167 |
Thailand | 67.0 | 5 781 | |
Vietnam | 170.6 | 89.7 | 1 902 |
ASEAN (total) |
Table 1: Economic and population data for the 10 ASEAN countries
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A Spearman's rank correlation test gave a value of R for the relationship between income per capita (2014) and tropical rainforest cover loss (1990–2005) for 10 countries.
Explain why the value for R you have calculated may be unreliable.
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A Spearman's rank correlation test used a sample of the 12 richest countries (by GDP per capita) to test the relationship between GDP per capita and military spending as a percentage of GDP.
Explain why this sample of 12 countries may be an unreliable measure of that relationship.
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A Chi-squared test on the association between being landlocked and a country's level of development gave a value of χ2 = 7.26.
To test the significance of this value, the table below was used to determine which hypothesis should be accepted.
90% significant (0.1) | 95% significant (0.05) | 99% significant (0.01) | |
|---|---|---|---|
Critical value | 6.25 | 7.81 | 11.34 |
State the result of this test of significance.
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Explain why the data used in the snow and ice coverage analysis (northern hemisphere area covered by snow or ice, 1970–2020) might not be a reliable guide to the impact of global warming on snow and ice coverage.
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A Chi-squared test on the 38 landlocked member states of the United Nations found the association between being landlocked and the level of development to be significant only at the 90% level.
Explain why this result may not be a reliable guide to the relationship between a country being landlocked and its level of development.
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Explain why the GDP per capita for the ASEAN free trade bloc may be a misleading statistic.
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Explain why tropical rainforests are a globally important physical system.
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The table below shows data on income per capita and tropical rainforest cover loss for 10 countries. The formula for Spearman's rank correlation coefficient R is given below.
Complete the table below and calculate the value of R for the data given. Show your working.
Country | Income per capita (2014 US$) | Rank | % forest cover loss 1990–2005 | Rank | d | d^2^ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brunei | 36,600 | 1 | 11.2 | 7 | ||
Costa Rica | 10,000 | 4 | 29.4 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Indonesia | 3,500 | 6 | 30.8 | 2 | ||
Kenya | 1,400 | 8 | 5.1 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
Madagascar | 450 | 10 | 1.5 | 10 | ||
Mexico | 10,700 | 3 | 15.3 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Panama | 11,100 | 2 | 18.0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Papua New Guinea | 2,100 | 7 | 13.7 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
Senegal | 1,000 | 9 | 9.2 | 8 | 1 | 1 |
Sri Lanka | 3,600 | 5 | 35.0 | 1 | ||
Σ |
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Explain why transnational corporations (TNCs) benefit from globalisation.
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Table 1 shows 2019 data for GDP per capita and the Environmental Vulnerability Index (EVI) for Haiti and 11 of its closest neighbouring countries. A higher EVI score means the country is more vulnerable.
Table 1 — GDP per capita and Environmental Vulnerability Index (EVI) for Haiti and 11 neighbouring countries, 2019. A higher EVI score means greater vulnerability.
Country | GDP per capita (US$) | Rank | EVI | Rank | d | d² |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colombia | 6,630 | 7 | 296 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Costa Rica | 13,373 | 3 | 354 | 11 | −8 | 64 |
Cuba | 9,540 | 5 | 329 | 9 | −4 | 16 |
Dominican Republic | 8,476 | 6 | 324 | 8 | −2 | 4 |
Haiti | 1,819 | 12 | 343 | 10 | 2 | 4 |
Honduras | 3,040 | 10 | 273 | 3 | 7 | 49 |
Jamaica | 5,185 | 8 | 381 | 12 | −4 | 16 |
Mexico | 11,091 | 4 | 306 | 7 | −3 | 9 |
Nicaragua | 2,255 | 11 | 272 | 2 | 9 | 81 |
Panama | 17,358 | 2 | 247 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
United States | 62,866 | 1 | 300 | 6 | −5 | |
Venezuela | 3,460 | 9 | 291 | 4 | 5 | 25 |
Complete Table 1 by calculating the value of d² for the United States.
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Then, using the formula below, calculate the value of rs.
rs = 1 − (6Σd²) ÷ (n³ − n), where n = 12.
Show your working. Give your answer to one decimal place.
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The Spearman result (rs ≈ −0.0) suggests the null hypothesis — that there is no significant relationship between GDP per capita and the EVI for these 12 countries — should be accepted at the 99% confidence level.
The result suggests that the null hypothesis should be accepted at the 99% confidence level.
Explain why this result may not be reliable.
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Explain the differences between hazards and disasters.
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Calculate the total for (O−E)² / E for the 'At risk' category for Other States (Column 6).
Answer to one decimal place. You must show your working.
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Calculate the value of χ², using the formula below.
Answer to one decimal place. You must show your working.
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The result shows that the null hypothesis should be rejected and the alternative hypothesis (shown below) accepted at the 99% confidence level.
Explain how this result might be used to guide further research into the environmental vulnerability of SIDS.
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Explain one reason why global demand for energy is likely to rise.
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Calculate the mean percentage (%) of people who agreed that climate change is a major threat to their country. Give your answer to one decimal place. You must show your working.
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Calculate the interquartile range of the % of people who agreed that climate change is a major threat to their country. You must show your working.
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Explain why the data on Table 1 may not be a reliable guide to global opinions about the threat of climate change.
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Study Figure 1, Figure 2 and Figure 3 in Section A of the Resource Booklet (opens in a new tab). Analyse the evidence that Arctic and Antarctic temperature changes are extreme.
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Study Figure 4, Figure 5 and Figure 6 in Section A of the Resource Booklet. (opens in a new tab) Analyse the global implications of climate change in these polar regions.
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Study Figures 1, 2, 3a and 3b in Section A of the Resource Booklet. (opens in a new tab)
Analyse the evidence that the trade profile of Latin America might hinder its development.
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Study Figure 4 and Figure 5 in Section A of the Resource Booklet. (opens in a new tab) Analyse the relationship between inequalities and the level of social and economic development.
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Study Figure 1 and Figure 2 in Section A of the Resource Booklet. (opens in a new tab) Analyse the pattern of earthquakes in Japan and its surrounding region.
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Study Figure 3 and Figure 4 in Section A of the Resource Booklet. (opens in a new tab) Analyse the relationship between earthquake risk and population density in the Japanese archipelago.
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Study Table 1 on Page 4 of the Question Paper and Figure 2 in Section A of the Resource Booklet, (opens in a new tab) both of which show data for the 10 ASEAN countries.
Analyse the differences in their social, economic and political development.
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Study Figure 3 in Section A of the Resource Booklet (opens in a new tab).
Analyse the varied level of interconnectedness within the ASEAN free trade bloc.
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Study Figure 3 in **Section B** (opens in a new tab) of the Resource Booklet, which shows data for three countries.
Analyse the differences in level of development for the three countries shown.
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Study Figure 9 in **Section C** (opens in a new tab) of the Resource Booklet, which shows data on natural resources exports versus income per person.
Analyse the relationship between income per capita and natural resource exports.
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Study the resources in Section B of the Resource Booklet. (opens in a new tab) Evaluate the view that the exploitation of resources in the Arctic and Antarctica will create more costs than benefits.
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Evaluate the view that the Arctic is more likely to be a focus of both short-term and long-term political conflict than Antarctica.
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Study the resources in Section B of the Resource Booklet. (opens in a new tab)
Evaluate the view that economic development based on natural resources inevitably leads to environmental degradation (destruction).
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Evaluate the view that Latin American countries cannot develop whilst the USA remains the dominant global superpower.
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Study Section B in the Resource Booklet. (opens in a new tab) Evaluate the view that international trade is the main factor in the success of the Japanese economy.
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Evaluate the view that Japan's status as a significant global power is unsustainable.
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Study Section B and Section C of the Resource Booklet (opens in a new tab).
Evaluate the role of superpowers in the development of the Southeast Asian region.
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You should have read the whole of the **Resource Booklet** (opens in a new tab), including Section D, before attempting this question.
Evaluate the view that climate change and natural hazards pose the most serious threat to the economic, social and political stability of Southeast Asia.
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Study the resources in **Section C** (opens in a new tab) of the Resource Booklet.
Evaluate the economic strengths and weaknesses of Angola, Congo and DRC.
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You are advised to read **Section D** (opens in a new tab) of the Resource Booklet before attempting this question.
Evaluate the view that the natural resources found in the three countries shown are more of a 'curse' than a 'blessing' for their people and environment.
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Study Figure 1, Figure 2 and Figure 3 in Section A of the Resource Booklet.
Analyse the evidence that the people of Haiti face greater economic and social challenges than their neighbours.
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Study Figure 4, Figure 5 and Figure 6 in Section A of the Resource Booklet.
Analyse the impact of tectonic and hydrometeorological hazards on the landscape and people of Haiti.
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Study the resources in Section B of the Resource Booklet.
Evaluate the view that Haiti's colonial past is the main reason for its current level of development.
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'If the Haitian population is to have a prosperous future it needs international action to build a sustainable economy.'
Evaluate this view.
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Study Figure 1 and Figure 2 in Section A of the Resource Booklet.
Analyse the similarities and differences in the locations and sizes of SIDS.
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Study Figure 3, Figure 4a and Figure 4b in Section A of the Resource Booklet.
Analyse the social consequences for countries with small land areas and small populations.
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Study the resources in Section B of the Resource Booklet.
Evaluate the view that geographical isolation has been the main barrier to the sustainable development of SIDS.
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Evaluate the view that without significant global action to address climate change, the future of SIDS is one of decline.
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Study Figure 1 and Figure 2 in Section A of the Resource Booklet.
Analyse the relationship between global population growth and land-use changes.
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Study Figure 3, Figure 4a and Figure 4b in Section A of the Resource Booklet.
Analyse the variations in European forest coverage.
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Study the resources in Section B of the Resource Booklet.
Evaluate the view that to be effective the mitigation of climate change requires many contrasting strategies.
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Evaluate the view that the crisis of biodiversity loss is both more serious and more challenging to solve than climate change.
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