The Effect of Expectation on Perception (AQA GCSE Psychology): Revision Note
Exam code: 8182
Expectation & perception
Expectation is a belief about what is likely to happen, based on past experience
Expectation is one of the factors that creates a perceptual set – a readiness to perceive some things rather than others
When we expect something, we are more likely to notice it, attend to it, and interpret ambiguous information as it
We therefore tend to 'see what we expect to see', e.g. waiting for a friend at the ice rink you keep mistaking strangers with a similar height, hair or coat for her, because you are primed to see her
Ambiguous figures, such as the 'rat-man' are useful for studying expectation because the image itself doesn't settle which interpretation we perceive – so expectation does

Bugelski & Alampay’s (1961) ‘rat-man’ ambiguous figure: can you see both a man wearing glasses and a rat in this image?
Bugelski & Alampay (1961): participants were shown a sequence of pictures before the rat-man
Those who had seen pictures of animals mostly saw a rat; those who had seen pictures of faces mostly saw a man
The same image was perceived differently depending on what participants had been led to expect
Examiner Tips and Tricks
Remember that interpretation of a visual illusion is subjective and will depend on an array of factors as to how the image is interpreted: there is no ‘right’ answer to the ways in which a visual illusion may be perceived.
Bruner & Minturn (1955)
The researchers’ aim was to see if expectation was an important factor in perceptual set
The participants were presented with an ambiguous figure comprising an image which could be interpreted as the number 13 or the letter ‘B’ (see below):

Participants in one condition were shown a series of numbers descending the page vertically, with the ambiguous figure at the centre of the list
Participants in the other condition were shown a series of letters going across the page horizontally with the ambiguous figure at the centre:

The participants were asked to say what they saw
Participants in the vertical ‘numbers’ condition were more likely to say that the ambiguous figure was the number 13
Participants in the horizontal ‘letters’ condition were more likely to say that the ambiguous figure was the letter ‘B’ (this was also true when participants were asked to draw the ambiguous figure)
The researchers concluded that expectation influences perceptual set: what participants had just seen created a readiness to perceive the ambiguous figure in a particular way
This shows that the same visual information can be perceived differently depending on what the person has been led to expect
This is evidence that perception is not based on the stimulus alone but on past experience, supporting Gregory's constructivist theory
Evaluation of the effect of expectation on perception
Strengths
There is good application to this theory:
understanding how expectation can influence perception could be used to avoid errors in, for example, policing e.g. just because someone is running down the street in a high-crime area does not mean that they have been up to no good (they could just be running for a bus!)
The study used a standardised procedure which means that it could be replicated to test the reliability of the findings
Weaknesses
It is difficult to test the effect of expectation on perception within real-world settings as it tends to happen unpredictably, without warning and often without people knowing that it is happening thus lab experiments are used to test it which lack validity
Participant variables may have interfered with the study’s results e.g. the ‘numbers’ condition may have included more participants who were Maths-oriented which would mean that they were already predisposed to seeing numbers rather than letters i.e. this would constitute a form of bias which would further invalidate the findings
Worked Example
Here is an example of a question you might be asked on this topic - for AO1.
AO1: You need to demonstrate knowledge and understanding of key concepts, ideas, theories and research.
AO2: You need to apply your knowledge and understanding, usually referring to the ‘stem’ in order to do so (the stem is the example given before the question)
AO3: You need to analyse and evaluate key concepts, ideas, theories and research.
After each featured question there is a ‘model’ answer i.e. one which would achieve top marks in the exam.
AO1:
Question: Outline how expectation may affect perception. [2]
Model answer: (One point with some expansion is enough for two marks - see two examples below):
Human beings often perceive what they expect or anticipate seeing e.g. someone waiting for the number 34 bus may mis-identify the number 24 bus or the number 43 bus.
OR
Humans’ past experiences shape what they expect to see (create a perceptual set) so that they are more ready to perceive some objects than others e.g. someone who has spent periods of their life in prison may ‘see’ hostility from others where none exists.
Examiner Tips and Tricks
Bruner & Minturn (1955) is a NAMED STUDY on the specification which means that you could be asked specific questions about it in the exam; be sure to learn it well.
Examiner Tips and Tricks
All of the topics in the ‘Factors Affecting Perception’ section of the specification can be explained using the term ‘perceptual set’. This term refers to how an individual prefers to take in the world around them i.e. what they notice, what they ignore. Perceptual set will be determined by a range of factors which will be dealt with individually across these pages: culture; emotion; expectation.
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