Applying Exponential Models (College Board AP® Precalculus): Study Guide

Roger B

Written by: Roger B

Reviewed by: Mark Curtis

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Applying exponential models

What does the base of an exponential model tell us?

  • For an exponential model in general form  f(x)=abx

    • the base b is the growth factor

      • it tells you by what factor the output is multiplied each time the input increases by 1 unit

  • The growth factor is directly related to the percent change per unit

    • If b>1, the quantity is growing

      • and the percent increase per unit is (b1)×100%

      • E.g. b=1.08 means an 8% increase per unit input

    • If 0<b<1, the quantity is decaying

      • and the percent decrease per unit is (1b)×100%

      • E.g. b=0.95 means a 5% decrease per unit input

  • It is important to remember that the growth factor applies per unit of the input variable

    • E.g. if the model is P(t)=500(1.03)t

    • and t is in years

      • then the quantity grows by 3% per year

  • If you need the growth rate per a different time period, you need to rewrite the model (see below)

How do I handle growth rates over non-unit intervals?

  • A common exam scenario is when the growth rate is given per one time unit but the model uses a different time unit

    • The key is to express the exponent so that it counts the number of growth periods

  • E.g. a population grows by 5% per month, and t is measured in years

    • The monthly growth factor is 1.05

      • and in t years there are 12t months

    • So the model is P(t)=P0(1.05)12t

  • E.g. a substance decays by 10% per decade, and t is measured in years

    • The decay factor per decade is 0.90

      • and in t years there are t10 decades

    • So the model is A(t)=A0(0.90)t10

Examiner Tips and Tricks

Remember that the growth factor for a percent increase of r% is 1+r100, not r100.

  • E.g. a 6.1% increase per quarter means the growth factor is 1.061, not 0.061

Similarly the decay factor for a percent decrease of r% is 1r100.

  • A common error is confusing the exponent direction

    • E.g. if the rate is per quarter and t is in years the exponent should be 4t (more growth periods per year), not  t/4

      • t/4 would be correct if the rate were per year and t were per quarter

Examiner Tips and Tricks

When a question gives a percent change per some time period and asks for a model in a different time unit, the most common error is getting the exponent backwards (e.g. writing t/4 instead of 4t, or vice versa).

A quick check is to substitute a simple value of t and see if the number of growth periods makes sense.

  • E.g., if t=1 year and growth is per quarter, there should be 4 growth periods

  • So the exponent should equal 4

How can equivalent forms of an exponential function reveal different information?

  • The same exponential function can be written in equivalent forms that highlight different properties

    • The general principle is that bx=(bk)x/k

      • for any nonzero constant k

  • This means you can rewrite the base to show the growth factor over any time interval

  • E.g.  f(d)=2d (quantity doubles every day, where d is in days)

    • Weekly form:  f(d)=(27)d/7=128d/7

      • the quantity grows by a factor of 128 every 7 days (every week)

    • Hourly form:  f(d)=(21/24)24d

      • the quantity grows by a factor of 21/24 every hour

  • E.g. A radioactive substance has a half-life of 8 days

    • This means that every 8 days the initial amount is multiplied by 12=0.5

    • The decay model is h(d)=A0(0.5)d/8, where d is in days

      • Every 8 days, the amount is multiplied by 0.5

    • To convert to t measured in hours

      • There are 24 hours in a day

        • so t=24d  d=t/24

      • Therefore

        • k(t)=A0(0.5)(t/24)/8=A0(0.5)t/192=A0(0.51/192)t 

      • This shows the decay factor per hour is 0.51/192

    • To convert to w measured in weeks

      • There are 7 days in a week

        • so d=7w

      • Therefore

        • h(w)=A0(0.5)7w/8

      • This shows the decay factor per week is 0.57/8

  • In general, converting between time units involves

    • substituting the relationship between the units into the exponent

      • then simplifying

Examiner Tips and Tricks

For unit conversion problems, always verify your answer by checking that the original rate is preserved.

  • E.g. if the half-life is 8 days, substituting 8 days' worth of the new time unit into your converted model should give a decay factor of 0.5

How do I use an exponential model to make predictions?

  • Once you have an exponential model, you can predict output values

    • by substituting input values into the function

  • You can also predict input values

    • by substituting output values into the function

    • and solving to find the corresponding input value

  • There are a number of things to keep in mind

    • Predictions are only meaningful within the contextual constraints of the domain

      • E.g. if t represents time since an event, negative values of t may not make sense

    • Models may not remain valid indefinitely

      • Real-world growth and decay often level off or change behavior over time

    • The model gives only approximate predictions

      • especially when based on a regression or limited data

    • The model may not remain valid beyond the range of data used to construct it

      • Just as with any model

Worked Example

The number of subscribers, in thousands, to a streaming service is modeled by the function S. The number of subscribers is expected to increase by 3.5% each month. At time t=0 years, the service had 200 thousand subscribers. If t is measured in years, which of the following is an expression for S(t)? (Note: A month is one twelfth of a year.)

(A)  200(0.035)(t/12)

(B)  200(0.035)(12t)

(C)  200(1.035)(t/12)

(D)  200(1.035)(12t)

Answer:

The initial value is S(0)=200

  • This occurs in all the answer options

A 3.5% increase each month means the monthly growth factor is

1+0.035=1.035

Since t is measured in years, and there are 12 months in a year

  • there are 12t months in t years.

So the model should be

(D) 200(1.035)(12t)

Worked Example

A bacteria colony doubles in size every 6 hours. The number of bacteria can be modeled by the function  p given by  p(t)=N0(2)t/6, where N0 is the number of bacteria at time t=0 and t is the number of hours since t=0.

Which of the following functions q models the number of bacteria remaining after m minutes, where N0 is the number of bacteria at time m=0? (There are 60 minutes in an hour, so m=60t.)

(A)  q(m)=N0(2)m/60

(B)  q(m)=N0(21/60)6m 

(C)  q(m)=N0(260)m/6 

(D)  q(m)=N0(21/360)m 

Answer:

Write t in terms of m

m=60t    t=m60

Substitute that for t in the original model:

q(m)=N0(2)(m/60)/6=N0(2)m/360=N0(21/360)m

That is answer is option (D)

You can check this answer quickly

  • The colony should double every 6 hours = 360 minutes

  • Using the model with m=360

q(360)=N0(21/360)360 =N0·21=2N0

  • The initial quantity doubles in that time, as expected

(D)  q(m)=N0(21/360)m 

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Roger B

Author: Roger B

Expertise: Development Editor

Roger's teaching experience stretches all the way back to 1992, and in that time he has taught students at all levels between Year 7 and university undergraduate. Having conducted and published postgraduate research into the mathematical theory behind quantum computing, he is more than confident in dealing with mathematics at any level the exam boards might throw at you.

Mark Curtis

Reviewer: Mark Curtis

Expertise: Maths Content Creator

Mark graduated twice from the University of Oxford: once in 2009 with a First in Mathematics, then again in 2013 with a PhD (DPhil) in Mathematics. He has had nine successful years as a secondary school teacher, specialising in A-Level Further Maths and running extension classes for Oxbridge Maths applicants. Alongside his teaching, he has written five internal textbooks, introduced new spiralling school curriculums and trained other Maths teachers through outreach programmes.