Source B: Paper Lane Ltd
Paper Lane Ltd sells stationery, cards and gifts from two small shops in market towns about 15 miles apart. Nina Okafor and Rhys Pritchard opened the first shop nine years ago and set the business up as a private limited company, with the two of them as the only directors and shareholders. They now employ nine other people, most of them part time.
The shops sell notebooks, pens, wrapping paper, cards and small gifts. Customers come in to browse, and a large share of what they buy was not on a list when they walked through the door. Nina and Rhys buy most of their inventory from small makers and from two wholesalers, and they order the Christmas range in August to get an 8% early order discount.
The business makes most of its profit in six weeks. December takes more money than August, September and October put together. That pattern is the heart of Paper Lane's problem. The inventory for Christmas is paid for in the autumn, months before it is sold, so the money goes out long before it comes back.
Sales have been steady and the shops are busy. Even so, cash at the bank fell from £19 000 to £2 000 during the year to 31 January 2026, and at its lowest point in the autumn the company was £22 000 into its overdraft. The overdraft limit is £25 000. Appendix D sets out the company's financial position and Appendix E shows what Nina and Rhys forecast will happen to the cash balance over the coming year.
They have been talking about opening a third shop. Their accountant has told them to sort the cash out first. They are also arguing about whether to ask their customers what they actually want, or to trust what nine years behind the counter has taught them.
A large share of what Paper Lane Ltd sells was not on the customer's list when they walked into the shop.
Analyse one reason why asking customers what they plan to buy might not give Nina and Rhys useful information.
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