Population Growth & Structure (Cambridge (CIE) A Level Economics): Revision Note

Exam code: 9708

Steve Vorster

Written by: Steve Vorster

Reviewed by: Lisa Eades

Updated on

Population distribution

  • The characteristics of a population (the distribution of age, sex, ethnicity, religion etc), is known as the population structure

  • The population structure is the result of changes in:

    • the birth rate

    • the death rate

    • net migration

Natural population growth rate = birth rate minus death rate + net migration

Causes of changes in birth rate

  • The birth rate is defined as the number of live births per 1,000 of the population per year

Factor

Explanation

Impact

Income and development

  • Rising income and female education reduce desired family size

  • Decreases

Female labour force participation

  • Opportunity cost of childrearing rises as women's earning potential increases

  • Decreases

Access to contraception

  • Greater availability and use of family planning reduces unintended births

  • Decreases

Child mortality

  • As infant survival improves, families need fewer births to achieve desired family size

  • Decreases

Urbanisation

  • Urban living raises the cost of children relative to rural settings

  • Decreases

Cultural and religious norms

  • Pro-natalist cultures or government incentives can sustain high birth rates

  • Variable

Causes of changes in death rate

  • The death rate (crude death rate) is defined as the number of deaths per 1,000 of the population per year

Factor

Explanation

Impact

Healthcare quality and access

  • Better medical treatment reduces mortality from disease and injury

  • Decreases

Nutrition and food security

  • Improved diet reduces deaths from malnutrition and related illness

  • Decreases

Sanitation and clean water

  • Reduces deaths from waterborne diseases

  • Decreases

Income growth

  • Higher incomes allow spending on healthcare, nutrition and safe housing

  • Decreases

Ageing population

  • As a population ages, the crude death rate can rise even as life expectancy increases

  • Increases

Causes of changes in infant mortality

  • Infant mortality rate is defined as the number of deaths of children under one year of age per 1,000 live births per year

    • It is a particularly sensitive indicator of healthcare quality, nutrition and sanitation

  • Infant mortality is primarily driven by the same factors as the crude death rate but is more sensitive to:

    • the quality of maternal healthcare

    • access to clean water and sanitation

    • rates of malnutrition

    • prevalence of preventable diseases such as diarrhoea, pneumonia and malaria

  • Infant mortality is typically much higher in low-income economies

    • Sub-Saharan Africa averages above 50 deaths per 1,000 live births compared to under 5 in high-income economies

Causes of changes in net migration

  • Net migration is defined as the difference between immigration (inflows) and emigration (outflows) over a given period

    • Positive net migration adds to population, negative net migration reduces it

Factor

Pull factors (immigration)

Push factors (emigration)

Economic

  • Higher wages, employment opportunities

  • Unemployment, low wages, poverty

Political

  • Stability, rule of law

  • Conflict, persecution, political instability

Social

  • Family reunification, education access

  • Lack of social services, discrimination

Environmental

  • Favourable climate and resources

  • Natural disasters, climate change, land degradation

Examiner Tips and Tricks

The most common error in this area is confusing the crude death rate with life expectancy - an ageing population can cause the crude death rate to rise even as life expectancy increases, because there are simply more elderly people.

Infant mortality is the single most sensitive indicator of healthcare quality and development level, and examiners reward students who use it as evidence rather than defaulting to GDP.

For net migration questions, always distinguish between economic, political and environmental push and pull factors rather than listing migration as a single undifferentiated cause of population change.

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Steve Vorster

Author: Steve Vorster

Expertise: Economics & Business Subject Lead

Steve has taught A Level, GCSE, IGCSE Business and Economics - as well as IBDP Economics and Business Management. He is an IBDP Examiner and IGCSE textbook author. His students regularly achieve 90-100% in their final exams. Steve has been the Assistant Head of Sixth Form for a school in Devon, and Head of Economics at the world's largest International school in Singapore. He loves to create resources which speed up student learning and are easily accessible by all.

Lisa Eades

Reviewer: Lisa Eades

Expertise: Business Content Creator

Lisa has taught A Level, GCSE, BTEC and IBDP Business for over 20 years and is a senior Examiner for Edexcel. Lisa has been a successful Head of Department in Kent and has offered private Business tuition to students across the UK. Lisa loves to create imaginative and accessible resources which engage learners and build their passion for the subject.